Our Brand-new Deepseek-based AI Says
Our brand-new Deepseek-based AI states "Chiefs vs Eagles? ... How Predictable"
Super Bowl predictions from our new Deepseek-based AI trained to be better at forecasting
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No one can forecast the future however at Lightning Rod Labs we are training AI to give it its finest shot. With up to date news and a small however feisty 14 Billion parameter model, our AI is boldly predicting the unforeseeable. Join us as we try to address humanity's toughest concerns.
Super Bowl Sunday is almost upon us and, just as two years back, wiki.snooze-hotelsoftware.de we have the Chiefs against the Eagles. The spread presently sits at Chiefs -1.5 with an over-under of 48.5. While the stats are well studied, there remain numerous pressing questions that are less easy to determine. Our company, Lightning arrester Labs, has actually been mining questions from places like polymarket.com and training a big language design to be better at forecasting the future (and have seen some intriguing enhancements - term paper incoming). This week we turned its cold, determining eye at the Super Bowl to see if it can offer us some insight into the finer points of what we can expect this Sunday.
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Background
Our AI is a 14 billion parameter model which is really on the smaller sized side. (Some quotes suggest ChatGPT has 1.8 TRILLION criteria and trained utilizing 8000 H100 GPUs. We used 8.) Additionally, its understanding cutoff is from many months ago so we have built an "agentic pipeline" to do news retrieval, summarization, and ranking. With each question we provide the news and watch as the AI reasons its method through unknown area to make its finest forecast possible.
And Now ... The Important Questions
We presented the following concerns to our AI and gauged its response. While we have actually seen forecast improvements from our training, use these quotes for prop betting at your own danger.
Will Travis Kelce propose to Taylor Swift after the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 5% opportunity
Therefore it appears this Sunday will not be a romantic one. Our AI believes Taylor and Travis' relationship is rock strong, but a little too personal for a post-Super Bowl proposition. Plus got ta consider if the Chiefs lose. That would be an awkward proposal ...
First, I'll take a look at the key points from the posts. Travis has actually remained in a relationship with Taylor given that 2023. He's a huge football star, and she's been supportive of his career, attending his video games. They seem to have a strong, public relationship, and Taylor has actually even welcomed her family and friends to the Super Bowl, revealing her dedication.
Some fans are thrilled, while others, specifically Swifties, are a bit uncertain, specifically provided remarks Travis made about Donald Trump attending the Super Bowl. That has caused some Swifties to question how suitable Travis is for Taylor. However, the couple appears to be keeping their relationship personal and not addressing the speculation straight.
I believe the bottom lines are the speculation and his evasive answers. While he's plainly in a relationship and the Super Bowl is a crucial event, the odds and his responses suggest it's more of a possibility instead of a certainty. I 'd estimate a low likelihood, perhaps around 5%, thinking about all factors.
Will the Eagles do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the super bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 79% chance
No Jason Kelce hasn't stopped the Eagles from using their signature "tush-push" move, now its simply a various front-tush being pressed. Will an AI comprehend what a "tush-push" is? Does an AI even understand what a "tush" is? Will it factor in that the Chiefs stopped (debate aside) Josh Allen's comparable efforts? Appears like our AI thinks they'll be using Jalen Hurts 600-pound squat and strong legs and lower body (Does our AI have a crush on Jalen Hurts?) time and again throughout this game.
Alright, I'm attempting to determine the probability that the Eagles will do more than 5 "tush-pushes" throughout the Super Bowl. First, I need to understand exactly what a "tush-push" is. From the short articles, it appears like it's a technique where the quarterback, in this case Jalen Hurts, uses his legs and lower body strength to press off defenders. It's compared to pushing a heavy box, so it's a physical maneuver that requires strength and technique.
Article 3 dives into the physics of the "tush-push." It explains how Hurts uses his leg strength, having actually done a 600-pound squat, to perform the relocation. The article discusses that the Eagles have a 90% success rate with this strategy, which is quite high. ... I likewise require to consider the protective techniques of the Chiefs. If the Chiefs understand the Eagles' "tush-push" technique, they may change their defense appropriately, which could either increase or decrease the variety of times the Eagles utilize it.
Considering that more than 5 appears like a substantial number however possible given their self-confidence, I would approximate a likelihood around 60-70% chance. This represents their preparation, confidence in the method, and the possibility that they'll use it numerous times, especially if it works early on.
Will Kendrick Lamar diss Donald Trump throughout the halftime program efficiency?
AI Final Prediction: 65% possibility
While our AI may not be like us when it pertains to consciousness, a soul, or any physical symptom, it certainly has opinions on Kendrick Lamar. It was quite uncertain, waffling back and forth, but in the end it thinks Kendrick isn't going to back down from a battle.
From the posts, I see that Kendrick Lamar has a history of slamming Trump. He's done this in his tunes, like "The Heart Part 4," and even made a declaration throughout a previous halftime show when Trump existed in 2018. That appears substantial due to the fact that it shows he's done it before, so possibly he'll do it again. But wait, looking at more recent posts, it points out that Lamar is moving away from political statements and focusing more on individual expression. That might imply he's less most likely to attend to Trump this time.
However, he's likewise included in a feud with Drake, which may give him reasons to make some public declarations, even if they're not political. Another point is the legal concerns surrounding his track "Not Like Us." There's a character assassination fit from Drake, so perhaps he's cautious about including any controversial songs in the performance. But because he won the Grammys for that track, he might still desire to perform it, even if it's uncertain.
Considering Trump is attending this Super Bowl, which is a prominent event, Lamar may feel forced to make a statement. However, the NFL tends to avoid political statements throughout the halftime program, so there's a danger that such material might be limited or softened.
On the other hand, Lamar has a track record of making vibrant proceed big stages. He's the first solo rap act to heading the halftime show, which may provide him more creative liberty. Plus, forum.batman.gainedge.org his past behavior suggests he's not shy about revealing his viewpoints, even in public efficiencies.
But I also remember reading that Lamar revealed fatigue about criticizing Trump, comparing it to beating a dead horse. That could suggest he's less motivated to raise Trump this time around, specifically if he's focusing on his fight with Drake. In summary, weighing all factors-past habits, present shifts in focus, legal problems, and the event's context-the possibility appears to be moderately high, maybe around 65%.
Will Andy Reid consume a cheeseburger on screen after the extremely bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 25% chance
Lets be sincere, Andy Reid loves cheeseburgers. And who doesn't? Will the reality that our AI has never tasted the juicy deliciousness of a fresh burger taint its forecast? Appears like theres rather of a possibility that if the chiefs taste triumph, Andy will taste Angus Beef.
From the posts, I see that Terry Bradshaw made a joke about Andy Reid eating a cheeseburger throughout a Super Bowl event. Bradshaw later said sorry for the joke, saying he didn't indicate to cause offense and that he really discovered it humorous himself. Reid seemed to take it in stride, which might indicate he's the type to laugh it off instead of getting upset.
Looking at the posts, it points out that Andy Reid is a food enthusiast and enjoys cheeseburgers. There's a short article particularly about his love for food, which recommends that he's a person who enjoys consuming, particularly with his team. So, if there were plans to commemorate after the Super Bowl, it's possible he would take part in a cheeseburger, particularly if the scenario is on screen for an event.
Will the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl be tails?
AI Final Prediction: 50% chance
"Tails never ever fails?" You can't trick the devices !! Betters leading up to the superbowl have been predicting the coin toss and 53% are anticipating heads due to it being heads 3 of the last 4 super bowls. Potentially rewarding? Maybe. Statistically incongruent? Certainly. Luckily our AI can't be deceived and believes anything can happen when that coin goes in the air.
Okay, so I'm attempting to determine the probability that the opening coin toss in the Super Bowl will be tails. I know that a coin toss is supposed to be 50/50, however there's some historic data that may affect this forecast.
First, I check out the articles supplied. They all point out the historic stats of Super Bowl coin tosses. It appears like tails has shown up more frequently than heads historically. Specifically, in 58 Super Bowls, tails has been the outcome 30 times, which is about 52%, while heads has been 28 times, which is about 48%. So, based purely on history, tails has a minor edge, however it's not a substantial difference.
However, I keep in mind that the outcome of a coin toss is typically thought about random. The slight historical edge for tails might be due to chance. But when making forecasts, sometimes individuals weigh historical information even if it's not statistically substantial. So, I ought to think about whether this historical bias should affect the possibility.
After considering it, I decide that while the historic information shows a slight choice for tails, it's not statistically substantial sufficient to move the possibility away from 0.5. So, I'll go with 0.5 as the likelihood, acknowledging that the small historic edge exists however doesn't bypass the reality that each toss is an independent 50/50 occasion.
Will the referees cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl?
AI Final Prediction: 1% possibility
We get it, you think the refs like and are gon na help him win. If I wasn't born and raised in Kansas City (I promise we didn't inject pro-Kansas City training data) I would most likely believe the same. BUT, its official now due to the fact that our AI says the chances are just 1% (hmmmm ... 1% is still type of high when it pertains to scams on a nationwide scale). Looks like the Chiefs will need to win fair and square!
AI Reasoning:
Okay, so I'm trying to determine the likelihood that the referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl. Hmm, that's a quite severe allegation. Let me break this down. First, I'm seeing a lot of posts that speak about conspiracy theories recommending referees are prejudiced towards the Chiefs. People are indicating some doubtful hire current games, especially the AFC Championship Game. That does seem to stimulate some uncertainty. I can see why fans may get annoyed when their team loses due to what they perceive as bad officiating.
But then I read that the NFL Referees Association and the Commissioner, Roger Goodell, have both dismissed these claims as "outrageous" and "absurd." They say there's no proof of organized bias. That's a strong declaration from individuals in charge. If they're rejecting it, it may mean there's no real basis or they would have resolved it in a different way if there was some reality to it.
Taking a look at the articles, a number of sources like [1], [5], [6], [7], [8], and [9] all report that the officials are against these claims, and some even called them insulting. They likewise discussed that statistical analysis doesn't reveal any pattern of favoritism towards the Chiefs. For example, Mike Pereira from FOX said data reveals the Chiefs have actually been penalized more since 2022. That's interesting because if they were getting special treatment, you might anticipate fewer penalties, right?
...
So, putting it all together, the possibility that referees will cheat to help the Chiefs win the Super Bowl is probably very low. Maybe not zero since you can't eliminate every possibility, but very not likely.
Summary
There you have it everybody, is it even worth seeing the game still? I think I'll need to wait and see how the game ends up before we unleash this upon the stock market. Fingers crossed for a good game! And hi, if it turns out our AI was incorrect about everything, a minimum of it can gain from this.